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|Title||Simulation of Demographic Change in Palestinian Territories According to the Final Results of the Actual Count Process in year 2007|
Mortality, birth rates and retirement play a major role in demographic changes. In most cases, mortality rates decreased in the past century without noticeable decrease in fertility rates, this leads to a significant increase in population growth. In many poor countries like Palestinian territories the number of births has fallen and the life expectancy increased. In this article we concentrate on measuring, analyzing and extrapolating the age structure in Palestine few decades ago going into future. Compared with the census in 1997, it's noted that the past ten years have witnessed a decrease in the proportion of children aged between 0-14, where the proportion declined from 45.1% in 1997 to 41.3% in 2007, decreased by 3.8% during the period between the two censuses. By contrast the percentage of working age population aged 15-64 years have remarkably increased during the period, the proportion rose from 51.1% in 1997 to 55.3% from the overall population, which is mean an increase by 4.2% between the two censuses. This means that, despite the fact that Palestinian society is still young compared with other communities, however, the proportion of young people and youth goes down with time, due to low fertility rates, where the total fertility rate in 2007 in Palestinian Territories shows decreasing in the birth rate compared with birth rate in 1997.
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|Shabat, Mohammed M._239.pdf||145.6Kb|